Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009570 0.011444 0.013745 0.016831 0.020949 0.026390 0.034361
2025-03-09 0.007065 0.009154 0.012036 0.016477 0.023505 0.034925 0.056782
2025-03-16 0.005944 0.008123 0.011380 0.016935 0.026984 0.046518 0.095196
2025-03-23 0.005124 0.007273 0.010678 0.016948 0.029583 0.058301 0.151361
2025-03-30 0.004412 0.006427 0.009753 0.016228 0.030388 0.066928 0.217624
2025-04-06 0.003922 0.005845 0.009137 0.015878 0.031803 0.078494 0.332037
2025-04-13 0.003632 0.005544 0.008942 0.016296 0.035253 0.100099 0.620236
2025-04-20 0.003465 0.005423 0.009048 0.017379 0.041117 0.139516 1.603577
2025-04-27 0.003278 0.005237 0.008990 0.018072 0.046379 0.188105 5.142668
2025-05-04 0.003053 0.004951 0.008677 0.018052 0.049381 0.233367 19.917664
2025-05-11 0.002856 0.004694 0.008385 0.018008 0.052377 0.290226 251.709096
2025-05-18 0.002649 0.004395 0.007958 0.017491 0.053273 0.335679 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002412 0.004037 0.007401 0.016616 0.052852 0.378928 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002237 0.003786 0.007054 0.016292 0.054992 0.477259 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002131 0.003660 0.006971 0.016744 0.061551 0.727427 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002012 0.003494 0.006767 0.016757 0.066006 1.039717 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001868 0.003264 0.006377 0.016048 0.065662 1.232480 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001757 0.003093 0.006112 0.015703 0.067515 1.629838 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001693 0.003015 0.006065 0.016115 0.075306 2.987567 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001661 0.003003 0.006182 0.017182 0.090258 9.171018 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001614 0.002953 0.006194 0.017864 0.103894 37.766671 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001545 0.002848 0.006044 0.017843 0.110998 167.997240 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001481 0.002749 0.005897 0.017800 0.118259 4400.126252 NaN